PresidentialPositionsIssuesReceptionTimelineDocuments

Work in progress — cycles are added one at a time. Every quote is machine-verified against an archived source; follow the links to read it.

Timeline 1929–1941

Yearly indicator series (each archived from its publisher), an event lane (red = war, amber = economic, grey = political), election years (dotted), and presidential actions — follow-through mechanisms — placed on the indicators their position's category targets (data/schema/indicator_links.yaml). The before/after table shows the indicator in the action's year and 1, 2 and 4 years later. That is a reading of what happened next, not a measurement of what the action caused: many actions and events share the same years.

Events

1929193019311932193319341935193619371938193919401941 National Prohibition (1920-01-17 – 1933-12-05): 18th Amendment in force; repeal a major 1932 issue. National ProhibitionThe Great Depression (1929-10-24 – 1941-12-07): Economic collapse following the 1929 crash; ~25% unemployment by 1933. The Great DepressionStock market crash (1929-10-24 – 1929-11-13): Black Thursday to the November low. Dust Bowl (1930-01-01 – 1940-12-31): Prolonged drought and soil erosion across the Plains. Dust BowlSmoot–Hawley Tariff Act (1930-06-17): Raised US tariffs on over 20,000 imported goods; widely blamed for deepening the Depression. Banking panics of 1930–1933 (1930-11-01 – 1933-03-06): Successive waves of bank failures culminating in the March 1933 bank holiday. Banking panics of 1930–1933European war-debt crisis (1931-06-20 – 1934-06-15): Hoover moratorium (1931), Lausanne conference (1932), general default by 1934. European war-debt crisisJapanese invasion of Manchuria (1931-09-18 – 1932-02-18): Prompted the Stimson Doctrine of non-recognition. Bonus Army march and eviction (1932-05-01 – 1932-07-28): WWI veterans camped in Washington demanding early bonus payment; evicted by the Army under Hoover's orders. Townsend old-age pension movement (1933-09-30 – 1936-11-03): Dr. Francis Townsend's $200-a-month pension plan built about two million club members by 1936, pushed Congress toward Social Security, and fed the Union Party. Townsend old-age pension movementShare Our Wealth movement and Huey Long's assassination (1934-02-23 – 1935-09-10): Long's Share Our Wealth clubs (7.5 million claimed members) threatened a 1936 third-party run until he was shot in Baton Rouge on Sept. 8, 1935; his following passed to Gerald L. K. Smith and the Union Party. The "Second New Deal" (1935) (1935-04-08 – 1935-08-30): Emergency Relief Appropriation Act (WPA), Wagner Act, Social Security Act, Banking Act, Public Utility Holding Company Act and the Wealth Tax Act, all enacted April–August 1935. Schechter decision voids the NIRA (1935-05-27): The Supreme Court unanimously struck down the National Industrial Recovery Act's code system; the NRA and its wage-hour codes lapsed. Italian invasion of Ethiopia (1935-10-03 – 1936-05-09): Mussolini's conquest of Ethiopia; League sanctions failed; the U.S. applied the 1935 Neutrality Act arms embargo. Butler decision voids the AAA (1936-01-06): United States v. Butler (6–3) held the Agricultural Adjustment Act's processing tax and production-control scheme unconstitutional; Congress substituted the Soil Conservation and Domestic Allotment Act (Feb. 29, 1936). Drought of 1936 (1936-06-01 – 1936-09-30): The hottest, driest summer on record across the Plains and Midwest; Roosevelt toured the drought states and called a Des Moines drought conference (Sept. 3) that Landon attended. Spanish Civil War (1936-07-17 – 1939-04-01): Nationalist rising against the Spanish Republic; Germany and Italy aided Franco; the U.S. extended its arms embargo to the conflict in January 1937. Spanish Civil WarSit-down strikes (GM Flint and after) (1936-12-30 – 1937-03-12): The UAW's Flint sit-down forced General Motors to recognize the union (Feb. 11, 1937); a wave of sit-downs followed, and U.S. Steel signed with the SWOC without a strike. The court-reorganization ("court-packing") fight (1937-02-05 – 1937-07-22): Roosevelt's bill to add up to six Supreme Court justices; defeated in the Senate after the Court upheld the Wagner Act and Social Security and Justice Van Devanter retired. Recession of 1937–38 (1937-05-01 – 1938-06-01): Sharp contraction after federal spending cuts and Fed tightening. Recession of 1937–381938 midterm elections and the failed "purge" (1938-06-24 – 1938-11-08): Roosevelt campaigned against conservative Democrats in primaries and lost; Republicans gained 81 House and 8 Senate seats, cementing the conservative coalition. World War II (US participation) (1941-12-08 – 1945-09-02): Pearl Harbor declaration to the Japanese surrender.

Unemployment rate (NBER series, 1929–1942) — percent · FRED (St. Louis Fed) · annual mean of published observations · NBER Macrohistory series M0892; monthly, averaged to annual. Use with unemployment-rate (BLS, 1948–).

National ProhibitionThe Great DepressionStock market crashDust BowlSmoot–Hawley Tariff ActBanking panics of 1930–1933European war-debt crisisJapanese invasion of ManchuriaBonus Army march and evictionTownsend old-age pension movementShare Our Wealth movement and Huey Long's assassinationThe "Second New Deal" (1935)Schechter decision voids the NIRAItalian invasion of EthiopiaButler decision voids the AAADrought of 1936Spanish Civil WarSit-down strikes (GM Flint and after)The court-reorganization ("court-packing") fightRecession of 1937–381938 midterm elections and the failed "purge"World War II (US participation) 1932 election1936 election 1.412.423.4 1929193019311932193319341935193619371938193919401941 1929: 1.381930: 5.9041931: 14.1971932: 22.7231933: 23.3851934: 19.0631935: 17.5811936: 14.2381937: 12.1621938: 18.4191939: 16.3471940: 14.0241941: 6.002 2 1932: 2 action(s) • 1932-10-15 statute: Federal Home Loan Bank Act — banks operating — The Federal Home Loan Bank system to stop home foreclosures and finance new homes • 1932-12-19 message: Special message on intergovernmental debts — The 1931 German moratorium and standstill agreements stemmed European collapse and will be built upon 26 1933: 26 action(s) • 1933-03-04 regulation: Continuation of the 1930 'public charge' consular instruction — Continue immigration restriction to protect labor, but end abuses against individual families in enforcement • 1933-03-10 message: Economy message: pledge to cover expenditures 'within a year' — Balance the federal budget annually within revenues • 1933-03-10 message: Message on economies in government — Cut the cost of the federal government by at least 25 percent • 1933-03-16 message: Message on the Agricultural Adjustment Act — Raise staple farm prices by a tariff-equivalent benefit plus voluntary production control, at no cost to the Treasury • 1933-03-16 message: Message to Congress on the Agricultural Adjustment Act — Restore purchasing power to the farming half of the nation • 1933-03-21 message: Message on unemployment relief — Federal leadership in distress relief — federal credit to states whose resources are exhausted • 1933-03-21 message: Message proposing the Civilian Conservation Corps — Employ a million men reforesting marginal and abandoned land • 1933-03-27 message: Message on consolidation of federal farm credit agencies — Government assistance to keep home-owners and farm-owners from foreclosure • 1933-03-31 statute: Emergency Conservation Work Act — Employ a million men reforesting marginal and abandoned land • 1933-04-10 message: TVA message: 'national planning for a complete river watershed' — National economic planning on the model of the 1917 war mobilization • 1933-04-10 message: Message suggesting the Tennessee Valley Authority — Public development of hydro-electric power on the St. Lawrence model, with national control of interstate transmission • 1933-05-07 message: Second fireside chat: 'a partnership in planning' — National economic planning on the model of the 1917 war mobilization … and 14 more8 1934: 8 action(s) • 1934-01-03 budget: FY1935 budget message with continuing deficit — Balance the federal budget annually within revenues • 1934-01-03 budget: Budget message FY1935: 'regular' versus 'emergency' expenditures — Cut the cost of the federal government by at least 25 percent • 1934-01-30 statute: Gold Reserve Act (devaluation to $35) — A sound currency preserved at all hazards • 1934-03-02 message: Message requesting authority regarding foreign trade — Revise the tariff downward through reciprocal trade agreements • 1934-04-13 statute: Johnson Act (Foreign Securities Act) — No cancellation of the war debts — make payment possible by restoring trade • 1934-05-22 message: Message on silver policy / Silver Purchase Act — A sound currency preserved at all hazards • 1934-06-12 statute: Reciprocal Trade Agreements Act — Revise the tariff downward through reciprocal trade agreements • 1934-06-27 statute: National Housing Act (FHA) — Slum clearance and modern housing for the urban poor as a "human necessity" among public works 16 1935: 16 action(s) • 1935-01-17 message: Message to Congress on social security — Old-age insurance under state laws • 1935-01-17 message: Message to Congress on social security — Unemployment insurance under state laws • 1935-04-08 statute: Emergency Relief Appropriation Act (WPA) — 'Employment for all surplus labor at all times' through self-liquidating public works (the Shearon letter, as Hoover read it) • 1935-04-08 statute: Emergency Relief Appropriation Act (WPA) — Public works spending is only a stopgap, not a cure for unemployment • 1935-04-08 statute: Emergency Relief Appropriation Act (WPA) — Expand self-sustaining public works and temporary federal work (forests, flood control, waterways), with advance planning • 1935-07-05 statute: National Labor Relations Act — An "economic declaration of rights" — the right to make a living and the right to safe savings • 1935-07-05 statute: National Labor Relations Act — A more equitable distribution of national income — higher reward to labor, lower to speculative capital • 1935-08-14 statute: Social Security Act — An "economic declaration of rights" — the right to make a living and the right to safe savings • 1935-08-14 statute: Social Security Act — "A new deal for the American people" — work and security through liberal, planned government action • 1935-08-14 statute: Social Security Act, Titles I and II — Old-age insurance under state laws • 1935-08-14 statute: Social Security Act — no health insurance title — Sickness insurance as a "minimum requirement" alongside old-age and unemployment insurance • 1935-08-14 statute: Social Security Act, Title III — Unemployment insurance under state laws … and 4 more2 1936: 2 action(s) • 1936-03-01 statute: Soil Conservation and Domestic Allotment Act — Raise staple farm prices by a tariff-equivalent benefit plus voluntary production control, at no cost to the Treasury • 1936-03-01 statute: Soil Conservation and Domestic Allotment Act (after Butler struck the AAA) — Restore purchasing power to the farming half of the nation 7 1937: 7 action(s) • 1937-02-10 message: Message on a program for the Great Plains — Continue drought and flood aid and a nation-wide flood-control and water-conservation policy • 1937-04-05 message: Message on making the CCC a permanent agency — Continue help for young people to obtain an education and a chance to use it • 1937-04-12 litigation: Wagner Act upheld in NLRB v. Jones & Laughlin Steel — Guard the worker's right to organize and bargain collectively • 1937-05-12 message: Message transmitting the water conservation and flood control report — Continue drought and flood aid and a nation-wide flood-control and water-conservation policy • 1937-05-24 message: Message on minimum wages and maximum hours — Revive the NRA's principles 'by one device or another' (imputed; the President would not say) • 1937-06-01 budget: Spending cuts of 1937 and the recession — Balance the federal budget annually within revenues • 1937-12-14 message: Letter recommending amendments to the Social Security Act — Build on the Social Security Act toward economic security for all 8 1938: 8 action(s) • 1938-04-14 message: Message on stimulating recovery (spending program) — Balance the budget within a year or two out of rising national income, without new taxes • 1938-06-10 message: Letter refusing a commission to revise the NLRA — Guard the worker's right to organize and bargain collectively • 1938-06-15 veto: Veto of the farm-loan interest-rate extension — Low interest rates, sounder home financing, better banking • 1938-06-21 statute: Emergency Relief Appropriation Act of 1938 — Provide useful work at prevailing wages for the needy unemployed rather than a dole • 1938-06-25 statute: Fair Labor Standards Act of 1938 — Shorter hours, higher wages, end child labor and sweatshops • 1938-06-28 statute: Flood Control Act of 1938 — Continue drought and flood aid and a nation-wide flood-control and water-conservation policy • 1938-12-13 executive_order: FHA insurance authorization raised to $3 billion — Extend the federal housing program toward adequate housing for those in slums; encourage private building • 1938-12-13 executive_order: FHA insurance authorization raised — Low interest rates, sounder home financing, better banking 6 1939: 6 action(s) • 1939-01-05 message: Message on the WPA — Provide useful work at prevailing wages for the needy unemployed rather than a dole • 1939-01-16 message: Transmittal of the Social Security Board report — Build on the Social Security Act toward economic security for all • 1939-04-03 statute: Reorganization Act of 1939 / Federal Security Agency — A long-range plan consolidating the federal government's scattered public-health and welfare agencies • 1939-07-01 other: National Youth Administration continued — Continue help for young people to obtain an education and a chance to use it • 1939-08-10 statute: Social Security Act Amendments of 1939 (financing changes) — Defense of the payroll-tax financing: the employer pays an equal share and the reserves are safe • 1939-08-10 statute: Social Security Act Amendments of 1939 — Build on the Social Security Act toward economic security for all
75 presidential action(s) in 8 year(s) on this series — before/after
YearActionsAt year+1+2+4Δ 4y
1932 22.7223.3919.0614.24 -8.48
1933 23.3919.0617.5812.16 -11.22
1934 19.0617.5814.2418.42 -0.64
1935 17.5814.2412.1616.35 -1.23
1936 14.2412.1618.4214.02 -0.21
1937 12.1618.4216.356 -6.16
1938 18.4216.3514.02— —
1939 16.3514.026— —