NCES Digest of Education Statistics, Table 219.10: High school graduates, by sex and control of school

Table 219.10. High school graduates, by sex and control of school; public high school averaged freshman graduation rate

(AFGR); and total graduates as a ratio of 17-year-old population: Selected years, 1869-70 through 2030-31

School year High school graduates Public school AFGR\3\ Population 17 years old\4\ Total graduates as a ratio of

17-year-old population\5\

Total\1\ Sex Control

Males Females Public\2\ Private, total

Total Males Females

1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0

1869-70 16000.0 7064.0 8936.0 --- --- --- --- --- 815000.0 1.96319018404908

1879-80 23634.0 10605.0 13029.0 --- --- --- --- --- 946026.0 2.498240006088628

1889-90 43731.0 18549.0 25182.000000000004 21882.0 \6\ --- --- 21849.0 \7\ --- 1259177.0 3.472982749843747

1899-1900 94883.0 38075.0 56808.0 61737.0 \6\ --- --- 33146.0 \7\ --- 1489146.0 6.371638509588717

1909-10 156429.0 63675.99999999999 92753.0 111363.0 \6\ --- --- 45066.0 \7\ --- 1786240.0 8.757445807954138

1919-20 311266.0 123684.0 187582.0 230902.0 \6\ --- --- 80364.0 \7\ --- 1855173.0 16.778273508723984

1929-30 666904.0 300376.0 366528.0 591719.0 \6\ --- --- 75185.0 \7\ --- 2295822.0 29.04859348851958

1939-40 1221475.0 578718.0000000001 642757.0 1143246.0 538273.0 604973.0 78229.0 \7\ --- 2403074.0 50.8296873088386

1949-50 1199700.0 570700.0 629000.0 1063444.0 505394.0 558050.0 136256.0 \7\ --- 2034450.0 58.96925458969255

1959-60 1858023.0 895000.0 963000.0 1627050.0 791426.0 835624.0 230973.0 --- 2672000.0 69.5367889221557

1969-70 2888639.0 1430000.0 1459000.0 2588639.0 1285895.0 1302744.0 300000.0 \7\ 78.68638394714084 3757000.0 76.88685121107267

1975-76 3142120.0 1552000.0 1590000.0 2837129.0 1401064.0 1436065.0 304991.0 74.85686343125788 4272000.0 73.55149812734082

1979-80 3042214.0 1503000.0 1539000.0 2747678.0 --- --- 294536.0 71.54971843404738 4262000.0 71.37996245893946

1985-86 2642616.0 --- --- 2382616.0 --- --- 260000.0 \7\ 74.2889822495275 3670000.0 72.0058855585831

1986-87 2693803.0 --- --- 2428803.0 --- --- 265000.0 \7\ 74.2781979360801 3754000.0 71.75820458177944

1987-88 2773020.0 --- --- 2500020.0 --- --- 273000.0 \7\ 74.22416009829578 3849000.0 72.0452065471551

1988-89 2743742.61 --- --- 2458800.0 --- --- 284942.61 73.40078713493085 3842000.0 71.4144354502863

1989-90\8\ 2574161.82 --- --- 2320337.0 --- --- 253824.82 \9\ 73.63618012567757 3505000.0 73.44256262482169

1990-91 2492987.63 --- --- 2234893.0 --- --- 258094.63 73.72723206338847 3417913.0 72.93888492773222

1991-92 2480398.54 --- --- 2226016.0 --- --- 254382.54 \9\ 74.24316356001782 3398884.0 72.97685181371297

1992-93 2480519.0 --- --- 2233241.0 --- --- 247278.0 73.84254585242446 3449143.0 71.91696604054978

1993-94 2463849.0 --- --- 2220849.0 --- --- 243000.0 \7\ 73.06200273247981 3442521.0 71.57106666887435

1994-95 2519084.0 --- --- 2273541.0 --- --- 245543.0 71.7612774011332 3635803.0 69.28549209074309

1995-96 2518109.0 --- --- 2273109.0 --- --- 245000.0 \7\ 71.02460819430003 3640132.0 69.17631008985389

1996-97 2611988.0 --- --- 2358403.0 --- --- 253585.0 71.30224683547553 3792207.0 68.877780142276

1997-98 2704050.0 --- --- 2439050.0 1187647.0 1251403.0 265000.0 \7\ 71.28335887992141 4008416.0 67.45931559997764

1998-99 2758655.0 --- --- 2485630.0 1212924.0 1272706.0 273025.0 71.06188007651178 3917885.0 70.41184210358395

1999-2000 2832844.0 --- --- 2553844.0 1241631.0 1312213.0 279000.0 \7\ 71.66499525281044 4056639.0 69.83229220051378

2000-01 2847973.0 --- --- 2569200.0 1251931.0 1317269.0 278773.0 71.67663622064204 4023686.0 70.78020004543099

2001-02 2906534.0 --- --- 2621534.0 1275813.0 1345721.0 285000.0 \7\ 72.56724813747425 4023968.0 72.23054457689524

2002-03 3015734.73 --- --- 2719947.0 1330973.0 1388974.0 295787.73 73.8612491591045 4125087.0 73.10717883041012

2003-04\8,10\ 3054438.0 --- --- 2753438.0 1347800.0 1405638.0 301000.0 \7\ 74.32995756855519 4113074.0 74.26168359723165

2004-05 3106499.0 --- --- 2799250.0 1369749.0 1429501.0 307249.0 74.67032077729682 4120073.0 75.39912520967468

2005-06\8\ 3122544.0 --- --- 2815544.0 1376458.0 1439086.0 307000.0 \7\ 73.44430375819506 4200554.0 74.33648037854054

2006-07 3199650.0 --- --- 2893045.0 1414069.0 1478976.0 306605.0 73.88993275417853 4297239.0 74.45827425470168

2007-08 3312337.0 --- --- 3001337.0 1467180.0 1534157.0 311000.0 \7\ 74.72604736208326 4436955.0 74.65338278165994

2008-09\8\ 3347828.0 --- --- 3039015.0 1490317.0 1548698.0 308813.0 75.49611321978817 4336950.0 77.19314264632979

2009-10 3435022.0 --- --- 3128022.0 1542684.0 \11\ 1585338.0 \11\ 307000.0 \7\ 78.24876513968519 4311831.0 79.66504253065577

2010-11 3449940.0 --- --- 3144100.0 1552981.0 1591113.0 305840.0 79.63223648056298 4367894.0 78.98405959485281

2011-12 3454095.0 --- --- 3149185.0 1558489.0 1590694.0 304910.0 \7\ 80.80747224414793 4294343.0 80.43360765546674

2012-13 3478027.0 --- --- 3169257.0 1569675.0 1599579.0 308770.0 81.86813624644162 4256151.0 81.71765992324991

2013-14\12\ 3488310.0 --- --- 3168450.0 --- --- 319860.0 83.05488949129003 4185184.0 83.34902360326332

2014-15\12\ 3530250.0 --- --- 3187000.0 --- --- 343250.0 \13\ --- 4171162.0 84.63468932637956

2015-16\12\ 3574730.0 --- --- 3224140.0 --- --- 350590.0 --- 4204274.0 85.02609487393067

2016-17\12\ 3603550.0 --- --- 3255320.0 --- --- 348230.0 \13\ --- 4218770.0 85.41707654126677

2017-18\12\ 3659820.0 --- --- 3310020.0 --- --- 349800.0 --- 4290560.0 85.2993548627685

2018-19\12\ 3666310.0 --- --- 3325700.0 --- --- 340610.0 \13\ --- 4217720.0 86.92634883301878

2019-20\12\ 3635620.0 --- --- 3300630.0 --- --- 334980.0 --- 4169359.0 87.19853579411128

2020-21\12\ 3669350.0 --- --- 3337640.0 --- --- 331710.0 --- 4166793.0 88.06172996834735

2021-22\12\ 3669720.0 --- --- 3343180.0 --- --- 326540.0 --- 4173685.0 87.9251788287808

2022-23\12\ 3684340.0 --- --- 3358200.0 --- --- 326140.0 --- --- ---

2023-24\12\ 3733330.0 --- --- 3342590.0 --- --- 390740.0 --- --- ---

2024-25\12\ 3798180.0 --- --- 3456870.0 --- --- 341310.0 --- --- ---

2025-26\12\ 3793380.0 --- --- 3444390.0 --- --- 348990.0 --- --- ---

2026-27\12\ 3699790.0 --- --- 3364860.0 --- --- 334940.0 --- --- ---

2027-28\12\ 3624500.0 --- --- 3288980.0 --- --- 335520.0 --- --- ---

2028-29\12\ 3590570.0 --- --- 3266770.0 --- --- 323800.0 --- --- ---

2029-30\12\ 3552640.0 --- --- 3210730.0 --- --- 341910.0 --- --- ---

2030-31\12\ 3548650.0 --- --- 3215840.0 --- --- 332810.0 --- --- ---

---Not available.

\1\Includes graduates of public and private schools.

\2\Includes estimates for states not reporting counts of graduates by sex.

\3\The averaged freshman graduation rate provides an estimate of the percentage of students who receive a regular diploma within 4 years of entering ninth grade. The rate uses aggregate student enrollment data to estimate the size of an incoming freshman class and aggregate counts of the number of diplomas awarded 4 years later. Averaged freshman graduation rates in this table are based on reported totals of enrollment by grade and high school graduates, rather than on details reported by race/ethnicity.

\4\Derived from Current Population Reports, Series P-25. For years 1869-70 through 1989-90, 17-year-old population is an estimate of the October 17-year-old population based on July data. Data for 1990-91 and later years are October resident population estimates prepared by the Census Bureau.

\5\Based on persons of all ages graduating from high school in a given year divided by the 17-year-old population in the same year. This ratio allows for comparisons over time but does not provide a measure of graduation rates for incoming freshmen who form a cohort (or class) that is scheduled to graduate 4 years later. The ratio of high school graduates to the 17-year-old population differs from measures such as the AFGR, which are designed to estimate high school cohort graduation rates.

\6\Data for 1929-30 and preceding years are from Statistics of Public High Schools and exclude graduates from high schools that failed to report to the Office of Education.

\7\Estimated based on data appearing in Projections of Education Statistics and Biennial Survey in the United States, Statistical Summary of Education, 1949-50.

\8\Includes imputations for nonreporting states.

\9\Projected by private schools responding to the Private School Universe Survey.

\10\Includes estimates for public schools in New York and Wisconsin. Without estimates for these two states, the averaged freshman graduation rate for the remaining 48 states and the District of Columbia is 75.0 percent.

\11\Includes estimate for Connecticut, which did not report graduates by sex.

\12\Number of high school graduates is projected by the National Center for Education Statistics (NCES) unless otherwise noted.

\13\Private school data are actual.

NOTE: Data in this table represent the 50 states and the District of Columbia. Includes graduates of regular day school programs. Excludes graduates of other programs, when separately reported, and recipients of high school equivalency certificates. Projections in this table were calculated after the onset of the coronavirus pandemic and take into account the expected impacts of the pandemic. Some data have been revised from previously published figures. Detail may not sum to totals because of rounding and adjustments to protect student privacy.

SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Annual Report of the Commissioner of Education, 1870 through 1910; Statistics of Public High Schools, 1889-90 through 1929-30; Biennial Survey of Education in the United States, 1919-20 through 1949-50; Statistics of Public Elementary and Secondary School Systems, 1958-59 through 1979-80; Statistics of Nonpublic Elementary and Secondary Schools, 1959 through 1980; Common Core of Data (CCD), "State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education," 1985-86 through 2009-10; "State Dropout and Completion Data File," 2005-06 through 2012-13; Public School Graduates and Dropouts from the Common Core of Data, 2007-08 and 2008-09; Private School Universe Survey (PSS), 1989 through 2019; and National High School Graduates Projection Model, through 2030-31. U.S. Department of Commerce, Census Bureau, Current Population Reports, Series P-25, Nos. 1000, 1022, 1045, 1057, 1059, 1092, and 1095; 2000 through 2009 Population Estimates, retrieved August 14, 2012, from http://www.census.gov/popest/data/national/asrh/2011/index.html; and 2010 through 2021 Population Estimates, retrieved October 11, 2021, from https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/technical-documentation/research/evaluation-estimates/2020-evaluation-estimates/2010s-national-detail.html. (This table was prepared November 2021.)